Pegasus World Cup Odds: Countdown Begins with Math Wizard

By Richard Rosenblatt

Pennsylvania Derby- Math Wizard

In the days leading up to the $3 million Pegasus World Cup (G1) and the $1 million Pegasus World Cup Turf (G1) at Gulfstream Park on Jan. 25, US Racing will be showcasing the contenders.

In addition, our handicapping gurus, Ed McNamara and Noel Michaels, will offer their early take on each contender’s prospects.

Up first is Math Wizard, the surprise winner of the Pennsylvania Derby (G1) back in September.

Seventeen horses were invited to each race, with a maximum field of 12 starters. Five horses are listed as reserve invitees. The post-position draw is Jan. 20.

This is the fourth year of the World Cup and the second year for the World Cup Turf. The purses for each race have been dramatically reduced – the World Cup from $9 million last year, and the Turf from $7 million last year.

The World Cup for horses 4 and older is contested over 1 1/8 miles; the Turf for horse 4 and older at 1 3/16 miles.

Several top horses invited to the World Cup – DQ’d Kentucky Derby first-place finisher Maximum Security and Whitney (G1) winner McKinzie among them — are likely to bypass the race in favor of richer races over the next two months, including the inaugural $20 million Saudi Cup on Feb. 29 and the $12 million Dubai World Cup (G1) on March 28.

Multiple Grade 1 winner Omaha Beach, the Derby favorite before being scratched with a throat issue, is expected to be the Pegasus World Cup. Mile (G1) and should be the favorite. United, second in the Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1) behind Bricks and Mortar, along with Hollywood Derby (G1) winner Mo Forza, and Magic Wand (an invite to both races), are among the top horses for the Turf.

Previous winners of the World Cup are Arrogate (2017), Gun Runner (2018) and City of Light (2019). Bricks and Mortar, expected to be chosen Horse of the Year, won the World Cup Turf last year to start an unbeaten season.

A few weeks ago, The Stronach Group, which owns the Pegasus World Cup Championship Invitational Series, announced that horses in both races would compete free of medication on race day. In addition, entry fees, which totaled as much as $1 million, were dropped.

The races will be broadcast by NBC from 4:30 p.m-6 p.m. ET.

Note: In most contender profiles, jockeys will not be listed until after the post-position draw.

MATH WIZARD

Pennsylvania Derby- Math Wizard

Set to kick off his 4-year-old campaign, Math Wizard aced the Pennsylvania Derby (G1) at odds of 31-1 back in September, giving trainer Saffie Joseph, Jr. the biggest win of his life.

“I’ve got to retire now,” an emotional Joseph said after the race. He’s 32.

Math Wizard was first claimed for $16,000, then claimed again for $25,000 by his current owners, and has earned over $1 million with three wins in 14 career starts.

After his victory in the Pennsylvania Derby, he ran a credible fifth in the Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1). The chestnut colt was sent off at 39-1 and was third into the stretch but was unable to sustain his rally.

In a workout on Jan. 5 at Gulfstream, Park, Math Wizard went 4 furlongs in 48.21 seconds – the ninth fastest of 89 workers going the same distance.

Trainer: Saffie Joseph, Jr.

Owners: John Fanelli, Khalid Mishref, Cash Is King, LC Racing, Collarmele Vitelli Stables, Ioannis Zoumas, Bassett Stables

Career record: 14-3-2-3

Career earnings: $1,040,623

Pedigree: Algorithms-Minister’s Baby, by Deputy Minister

Age: 4

Running style: Closer

Handicapping Insights:

“Major class rise; can’t see repeat of long shot win in Pennsylvania Derby – Ed McNamara

“Wizard: Posted a huge upset in PA Derby. Now facing older horses, but if a couple of the top Pegasus invitees opt for other spots, he can’t be ruled out of an in-the-money finish at a nice price.” – Noel Michaels

Notes: Other than his stunner in the Pennsylvania Derby at Parx, Math Wizard’s other two victories came at Gulfstream Park, both in January, and both by wide margins … Finished fourth the Wood Memorial (G2), and ran second, third and sixth in the Ohio, Indiana and West Virginia derbies (G3’s) before his win at Parx … Joseph, based in South Florida, has been training since 2011, enjoying his best year in 2019 with 280 winners from 1,307 starters and $8,306,214 in purse earnings … In last four races, Math Wizard has been ridden by four different jockeys, most recently by Ricardo Santana, Jr. … Among the multiple owners of Math Wizard is Cash is King LLC, which campaigned Afleet Alex, winner of the Preakness (G1) and Belmont Stakes (G1) in 2005.

 

Pegasus World Cup 2020 Invitees
Horse Owner Trainer
Gift Box Hronis Racing John Sadler
Higher Power Hronis Racing John Sadler
Magic Wand Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith, Mrs. John Magnier, Mr. M.J. Jooste Aidan O’Brien
Math Wizard John Fanelli, Khalid Mishref, Cash Is King, LC Racing, Collarmele Vitelli Stables, Ioannis Zoumas, Bassett Stables Michael Maker
Maximum Security Gary and Mary West Jason Servis
McKinzie Karl Watson, Michael Pegram, Paul Weitman Bob Baffert
Mr Freeze Jim Bakke, Gerald Isbister Dale Romans
Omaha Beach Fox Hill Farms Richard Mandella
Roadster Speedway Stable Bob Baffert
Seeking the Soul Charles Fipke Dallas Stewart
Spun to Run Robert Donaldson Juan Carlos Guerrero
Tax R.A. Hill Stable, Reeves Thoroughbred Racing, Hugh Lynch, Corms Racing Stable Danny Gargan

Find more Pegasus World Cup 2020 and Pegasus World Cup Turf 2020 Contenders Profile here:

Spun to Run

Higher Power

Channel Cat

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