Race Profile: Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

JUVENILE FILLIES TURF
Friday, Nov. 4, 2016 (3:50 PM PDT)

Purse: $1,000,000
Distance (surface): 1 mile (turf)
Race ESR: -1 (moderate/soft)
Race LSR: 0 (excellent)

Winner’s Profile

Days Since Last Race: 33.0
Last-Race Odds: 7-1
Median BSF: 89.5
Median ESR: +2 (soft)
Median LSR: 0 (excellent)
Running Style: M/R

  • Only one of 45 fillies with a Brisnet Turf Pedigree rating of less than 110 has won the Juvenile Fillies Turf (Maram, 2008). 

    Qualifiers (as of Oct. 26): CAVALE DOREE (100), COASTED (106), INTRICATELY (108), LA CORONEL (109), MISS SOUTHERN MISS (109), PARTYINTHEPADDOCK (109), RED LODGE (108), STORMY PERFECTION (107), SWEEPING PADDY (107) and VICTORY TO VICTORY (107).

  • Three of eight Juvenile Fillies Turf winners entered the race with a Pace Profile Report Class Rating ranked among the top three in the field. 

    Qualifiers (as of Oct. 26): INTRICATELY, LULL and RHODODENDRON.

  • Of the 10 horses possessing a median LSR of +2 or greater, two won — Tapitsfly (2009) and Ladi Eli (2014). 

    Qualifiers (as of Oct. 26): COASTED, LA CORONEL, NEW MONEY HONEY, RYMSKA, WITH HONORS and YOU MISSED IT.

  • Entrants with a last-race Form Rating of less than 75 percent are zero-for-27 in the Juvenile Turf Fillies and have hit the board (finished third or better) just three times. 

    Qualifiers (as of Oct. 26): BEAT THE BENCHMARK, CAVALE DOREE, COASTED, CON TE PARTIRO, LULL, MAJESTIC GALE, PELLUCID, RED LODGE, RICH LEGACY and SWEEPING PADDY.

STARTLING STAT: Of the 12 fillies that met the Juvenile Turf Fillies speed par in their last race, two won and six finished in the money (third or better). 

Qualifiers (as of Oct. 26): LA CORONEL and NEW MONEY HONEY.

Derek Simon
Derek Simon is the Senior Editor and Handicapper at US Racing.
Posted on
{include file='scripts-footer.tpl'}