Race Profile: Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile

DIRT MILE
Friday, Nov. 4, 2016 (3:05 PM PDT)

Purse: $1,000,000
Distance (surface): 1 mile (dirt)
*Race ESR: -10 (brisk)
*Race LSR: -7 (fair/good)

Winner’s Profile

Days Since Last Race: 35.0
Last-Race Odds: 5-1
Median BSF: 95.0
*Median ESR: -3 (moderate/soft)
*Median LSR: -10 (fair)
Running Style: M/R

  • Five of 39 horses that went to post at odds of 5-1 or greater in their final prep won the Dirt Mile, producing an ROI of 128.97 percent.
    Qualifiers (as of Oct. 26): GUN RUNNER, UPSTART and WIN THE SPACE.
  • Horses that last competed for a purse of less than $200,000 are zilch-for-21 in the Dirt Mile.
    Qualifiers (as of Oct. 26): BRADESTER, CYRUS ALEXANDER, INDEXICAL, RUNHAPPY and TOM’S READY.
  • Current form has not mattered much in the Dirt Mile, as seven of the nine winners entered the race having lost their final prep.
    Qualifiers (as of Oct. 26): BRADESTER, DALEMORE, DORTMUND, GUN RUNNER, INDEXICAL, POINT PIPER, RUNHAPPY, TAMARKUZ, UPSTART and WIN THE SPACE.
  • Entrants over the age of five are winless in 10 Dirt Mile starts.
    Qualifiers (as of Oct. 26): BRADESTER, POINT PIPER, TAMARKUZ and VYJACK.

STARTLING STAT: Of the nine horses that met the Dirt Mile speed par in at least one of their last two races, four won, returning $6.76 for every $2 bet to win.

Qualifiers (as of Oct. 26): GUN RUNNER, RUNHAPPY, TAMARKUZ and VYJACK.

*Statistics on a dirt surface.

Derek Simon
Derek Simon is the Senior Editor and Handicapper at US Racing.
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