Race Profile: Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies

JUVENILE FILLIES
Saturday, Nov. 5, 2016 (12:05 PM PDT)

Purse: $2,000,000
Distance (surface): 1-1/16 miles (dirt)
*Race ESR: -9 (moderate/brisk)
*Race LSR: -8 (fair/good

Winner’s Profile

Days Since Last Race: 28.0
Last-Race Odds: 6-5
Median BSF: 96.0
*Median ESR: -9 (moderate/brisk)
*Median LSR: -13 (fair/poor)
Running Style: M/F

  • Since 1997, eight of the 17 dirt winners of the BC Juvenile Fillies have possessed a Pace Profile Report running style of “F.”
    Qualifiers (as of Oct. 29): WITH HONORS.
  • Over half — 53.3 percent to be precise — of all Juvenile Fillies winners over the last 19 years have boasted the best Pace Profile Report median speed rating. As a group, these horses have produced a $3.25 net return (62.33 percent ROI).
    Qualifiers (as of Oct. 29): AMERICAN GAL.
  • 11 of the past 19 Juvenile Fillies winners were favored in their last start, producing across-the-board profits.
    Qualifiers (as of Oct. 29): AMERICAN GAL, EVER SO CLEVER, VALADORNA and YELLOW AGATE.
  • 13 of the past 19 Juvenile Fillies champs won their final prep.
    Qualifiers (as of Oct. 29): AMERICAN GAL, BRAVE ANA, DANCING RAGS, EVER SO CLEVER, JAMYSON ‘N GINGER, NOTED AND QUOTED, SWEET LORETTA, UNION STRIKE, VALADORNA and YELLOW AGATE.

STARTLING STAT: Horses than went to post at 5-1 or greater last time are 2-for-97 in the Juvenile Fillies.

Qualifiers (as of Oct. 29): BRAVE ANA, COLORFUL CHARADES, DANCING RAGS, FUN, JAMYSON ‘N GINGER, LIBBY’S TAIL, NOTED AND QUOTED, ROLY POLY, UNION STRIKE and WITH HONORS.

*Statistics on a dirt surface.

Derek Simon
Derek Simon is the Senior Editor and Handicapper at US Racing.
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