By Derek Simon
WEDNESDAY (1/13/16)
1st Turf Paradise (dirt)
2-SKY’S NO LIMIT has a race-best .423 Performance Rating and has shown that he can come off the pace — which I think he’ll need to do at this abbreviated distance.
Suggested Play(s): WIN on 2 (at odds of 7-5 or greater). EXACTA 2 with 6.
THURSDAY (1/14/16)
5th Aqueduct (inner dirt)
7-DISTINCTIVE LADY wheels back quickly after a strong local bow in which she earned the best dirt-race late speed ration (LSR) of her career.
Suggested Play(s): WIN on 7 (at odds of 1-2 or greater). EXACTA KEY BOX 7 with 2,3,4.
2nd Golden Gate Fields (Tapeta)
6-SEEKING ASYLUM has a .515 Win Rating and the best Class Rating (0.30) in the race.
Suggested Play(s): WIN on 6 (at odds of 1-2 or greater). EXACTA 6 with 1,2,5.
FRIDAY (1/15/16)
4th Delta Downs (dirt)
12-HANCOCK COUNTY has the best overall speed figures and LSRs.
Suggested Play(s): Win on 12 (at odds of 1-2 or greater).
4th Golden Gate Fields (Tapeta)
4-SPENDING PLAN has the top Performance Rating (.534), Class Rating (0.31) and last-race LSR (-6).
Suggested Play(s): Win on 4 (at odds of 1-2 or greater).
SATURDAY (1/16/16)
8th Aqueduct (inner dirt)
9-EIGHTY THREE boasts of the top Performance Rating and last-race LSR.
Suggested Play(s): Win on 9 (at odds of 1-2 or greater).
2nd Gulfstream Park (dirt)
7-EARLY ENTRY is a Win Rating standout in a race with a vulnerable favorite.
Suggested Play(s): Win on 7 (at odds of 1-2 or greater).
6th Louisiana Downs (dirt)
7-JESS A SAINT has a huge class edge against these.
Suggested Play(s): WIN on 7 (at odds of 1-2 or greater).
2nd Mahoning Valley (dirt)
6-PURRPURRPURR ran well off the claim for recently-turned-super-trainer Elliot Sullivan (prior to 2015, Sullivan won at an 11.7 percent rate; since then, he’s won at a 29.0 percent clip).
Suggested Play(s): WIN on 6 (at odds of 1-2 or greater).
2nd Penn National (dirt)
4-RITZY LASS won in dominant fashion last time and fits well against these.
Suggested Play(s): WIN on 4 (at odds of 1-2 or greater).
1st Turf Paradise (dirt)
3-DISCREET PRINCE recorded the best last-race LSR (-9).
Suggested Play(s): WIN on 3 (at odds of 2-1 or greater).
7th Turfway Park (Polytrack)
5-TRIBAL CUSTOM has a .534 Win Rating and is the fastest horse in the field.
Suggested Play(s): WIN on 5 (at odds of 1-2 or greater).
Note: All bets should total the same amount. For example, if one is wagering $30 per race, the three suggested exacta bets in the fourth race at Delta Downs on Friday, should be $10 each (3 x $10 = $30). Also, any race taken off the turf or altered in any way should be passed.
Number: 4
Winners: 1
Rate: 25%
Return: $3.00
ROI: -62.50%
Note: Statistics through 1/13/16.
