Since 1960, just 10 of 279 non-Kentucky Derby starters have won the Preakness Stakes. That’s a 3.6 percent win rate, a 0.36 impact value (IV) and a 0.64 odds-based impact value (OBIV). Dr. Will...
Now that the Kentucky Derby is over, we are on to the Preakness. Can Nyquist make it nine wins in a row? A few weeks back I discussed how handicapping the Kentucky Derby is different than your nor...
Once, as I reclined on an easy chair, sipping a Michelob Ultra (gotta watch the carbs), with a copy of the Daily Racing Form spread out on my lap, I was asked to explain what I was doing. Smiling, I t...
The early pace of the Kentucky Derby set up pretty close to how I laid it out, with Danzing Candy doing what one-dimensional frontrunners do best, setting a hot pace and failing. But, Danzing Candy we...
For years I heard that horse racing needed a Triple Crown winner to “save” it. Exactly what was threatening the game, I was never quite sure of, but I assume the angst had to do with thoroughbred ...
Has anyone ever noticed that Triple Crowns occur in clusters, typically in threes? Sir Barton was the lone Triple Crown champ of the 1910s; however, he won before the term had even been coined. In the...
Paul and Zillah Reddam’s Nyquist was a bit of an unusual favorite going into Saturday’s $2.391 million Kentucky Derby (GI) in that either people believed, or they didn’t — with very few in bet...
This year, Kentucky Derby handicappers face a peculiar challenge (as if an overflow field of the best 3-year-olds in America competing at a distance they’ve never tried before isn’t daunting enoug...
If there is one consistent theme relating to the Kentucky Derby it is that change is not a good thing. The young horses competing on the first Saturday in May have enough to deal with — a large, scr...
The 142nd edition of the Kentucky Oaks (GI) drew a competitive field of 14 for America’s premier race for 3-year-old fillies. The Kentucky Oaks was supposed to be a showcase event for Songbi...
